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DID YOU KNOW?

For the week, the Dow lost 292.48 points to finish at 10667.39, while the Nasdaq fell 69.34 points to close at 2247.70. The S&P 500 dropped 26.12 points to end at 1261.49. Volume came in on the heavy side.

The key averages finished firmly lower, because of a combination of several negative factors. Several large cap companies reported numbers which were quite disappointing. Crude oil was also trading north of $68 a barrel, which seemed to stem from escalated geopolitical problems with Iran. Equities actually held their own over the first three sessions of the holiday shortened week. However, Friday turned out to be one of the more ugly sessions seen in some time. In fact, the Nasdaq 100 Index (NDX) dropped roughly 3% alone Friday. Meanwhile, the Dow fell close to 2%, which is significant for the blue chip index. The one pocket of strength all week were energy shares, with certain oil drillers/service names breaking out to fresh highs. All in all, it wasn't the best of weeks for equities.

In our trading we closed out two positions for nice gains. Because we came into the week with limited higher risk long positions, our model portfolio held up quite well. Moreover, we started the week with four short positions which also provided a nice downside hedge. Our trading strategy was to cautiously look to add new long positions to our portfolio into weakness. We say cautiously because we felt it was best to let the expected correction run its course before becoming overly long the market again. Moreover, we continued to look for selective opportunities in short positions. A recap of our performance for the week (as well as year to date) can be found at:

http://www.daytraders.com

While it's never positive to see crude oil spike on geopolitical concerns, we do feel that the main negative story of the week was earnings. The list of companies to disappoint this earnings season included: General Electric, Citigroup, Intel, Motorola, Apple, Yahoo, eBay, Xilinx, Alcoa and Phelps Dodge. Take note that four of the companies on this list are Dow components, while many of them are among the heaviest weighted components of the S&P 500. While 2006 has started off with quite a potent rally, it's starting to appear that earnings are not living up to all the bullish optimism. If not for the widespread belief that the Fed may stop raising interest rates [and save the day], we have little doubt that this week's declines would have been much more severe in nature.

Moving forward, it's very likely that equities could be caught in a tug-of-war between the Fed stopping and the economy/earnings deteriorating. This, in turn, could put a floor under the current correction. At the same time, until the uncertainty surrounding the Fed and the economy plays itself out, the upside could be limited for the market. Consequently, we could see a range-bound market in the near term. This would suggest buying weakness and selling/shorting strength until the market finds a sustainable trend.

All right then, that's it for this weekend. We hope you have enjoyed this edition of the free weekend report. To subscribe to our daily stock market report (which includes market commentary each morning, as well as our model trading portfolio), please visit us at daytraders.com. Until then, good luck in the markets!

Brian Frechman, Market Editor

Ray Johns, Senior Market Editor

No permission is needed to reproduce an unedited copy of this article as long the About The Author tag is left in tact and hot links included. Questions and comments can be sent to Ray at articles@daytraders.com.

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